LAST WEEK RECORD: (DIVISIONAL ROUND 3-1)

WILD CARD RECORD: (3-3)

POST SEASON RECORD: (6-4)

In the divisional round we rebounded from a horrific wild card weekend of predictions going 3-1. Our one blemish came from the Commanders beating up on the Lions as they knocked out the number one seed in the process. My thoughts before that match up were how can a rookie quarterback beat a Detroit team that many had winning the Superbowl. That’s why they play the games because anything can go down on any given Sunday. With two games this Sunday, we have to get them both right to have a great week. The two winners will go the Superbowl.

NFL PLAYOFFS ROUND THREE (CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIPS) STRAIGHT PICK-EM

THE SUNDAY SLATE

#6.WASHINGTON COMMANDERS (14-5) AT #2.PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (16-3)

PLAYOFF HISTORY WASHINGTON (1-0) PHILADELPHIA

The Commanders and the Eagles will meet up for the third time this season. Both teams reside in the same division, the NFC East, and know each other well. They split the series during the regular season with each team winning one game. Last week the Commanders gave the Lions a beat down scoring 45 points while knocking off the NFC’s number 1 seed. The Eagles took care of the Rams in a game that got too close for comfort late in that one.

Jayden Daniels has had an impressive rookie season as he helpped turn around a Washington franchise that was face down in the gutter. Daniels has won his first two playoff games. He led a come-from-behind victory in the last meeting versus the Eagles with under a minute drive that he capped off with a touchdown pass. Meanwhile the Eagles quarterback, Jalen Hurts. is banged up which could be a concern. Jalen Hurts did not really do anything special versus the Rams last week. He will be looking to get the Eagles back to the Superbowl for the second time of his career. Hurts is now 4-3 in the post-season play for his career.

This will be the fifth time that two teams from the NFC East have squared off in a conference championship. The last time time was 1986. The winners of the last two of these conference championships with NFC East teams went on to win the Superbowl. The 1986 NY Giants and 1982 Washington Redskins. In this match the Commanders will have the better quarterback due to Jayden Daniels is playing lights out and is healthier than Jalen Hurts who suffered a knee injury against the Rams. The Eagles have the advantage with their running game versus the Commanders run defense. Saquon Barkley has had 3 rushing touchdowns on just 3 carries totaling 130 yards versus the Commanders defense in two meetings. Barkley is playing his best football right now. He should feast on the Commanders defense that plays 95% in nickel coverage. Look for Hurts and Barkely getting off the bus and running in this one. Daniels has had something brewing the last two playoff games with wide receiver Dyami Brown who has 11 for 187 yards and touchdowns. As a fan I would love to see the Commanders make it to the Superbowl. Can a rookie QB accomplish that tall task? The Commanders will be without some big guys in the trenches in this one. Sam Cosmi, the right guard for the Commanders, tore his ACL against the Lions. In the first two games he has squared off against Eagles stud defensive linemen Jalen Carter. The Commanders will also be without one of their starting defensive linemen Daron Payne who has issues with his knee and fingers. Daniels will not have that protection even though he can run and make plays on the run. Stopping Barkley will even be harder for this Commanders team. The Eagles really should have won the second meeting as they had dropped a pass by one of their receivers. If he caught it, it would have been a first down and they would have run the clock out before Daniels’ epic game winning drive. I like the Eagles defense. I think Barkley is too hard to handle for this Commanders defense.

OUR PICK: EAGLES

#2.BUFFALO BILLS (15-4) AT #1.KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (16-2)

PLAYOFF HISTORY: Chiefs (4-2) Bills

Did the Chiefs benefit on some calls by the referee last week as they put away the Texans at home? The Bills got a break when Ravens tight end Mark Andrews dropped a ball that could have tied the ball game on a two point try late in that contest.

Patrick Mahomes is now 16-3 in post-season play. Josh Allen finally gets the Bills past the divisional round and now improves his playoff record to (7-5) for his career.

Here we go again!! Bills & Chiefs squaring off for the 4th time in recent years. The Chiefs have wiped out the Bills out of the playoffs three straight times including a AFC Championship game in 2021. Patrick Mahomes vs Josh Allen in a total of 8 games are even at four a piece. Mahomes is 3-0 versus the Bills and Allen in post-season. Allen has dominated Mahomes and the Chiefs during the regular season. The Bills have lost 7 straight road playoff games. Four of those road playoff games were with head coach Sean McDermott. You have to go back to 1992 when the Bills beat the Dolphins on the road in the AFC Championship. The Chiefs are looking to head back to the Superbowl to win their third title in the last 3 seasons. The Bills are looking to get back to the Superbowl since 1994, the last out of 4 straight losses in the 1990’s. The Chiefs have the edge being at home. They also have the psychology aspect as they owned the Bills in the post-season. The Chiefs defense can get to the quarterback as they sacked CJ Stroud 8 times last week. Meanwhile the Bills defense has forced the most take-a-ways, a league high of 35 which that total includes post-season. From the eye test right now, Josh Allen is playing at higher level than Patrick Mahomes. In the post-season Mahomes has a switch that brings him to the same level as Allen or beyond. How lucky can the Chiefs get? Winning that thriller overtime game years ago during which the Bills had the lead by three points with 13 ticks left on the clock. Mahomes and company drive down the field and get the game tying field goal to send it to OT. Then Mahomes and the Chiefs get the ball first and game over. Then the missed field goal that could have tied the game last year in Buffalo by Tyler Bass. Can the Bills fight through all their bad playoff history? How do the Bills defense stop Travis Kelce? This will be another chapter in epic playoff games by these two teams. The Bills defense is healthier than they were last season when they met in post-season. They say three is the charm. Sometimes on the 4th try in sports, you are golden. The Michael Jordan Bulls cleared that hurdle getting through the Pistons in the 90’s in post-season. The way Josh Allen and that Bills offense is playing, who do you cover? The Bills offense adapts to whatever the opposing defense gives them to control the ball most of the game. That could lead to an ice cold Mahomes and Kelce. I think it’s time that the Chiefs take the fall and Bills move on. I think the Bills defense will play a big role like they did versus that Ravens offense last weekend.

OUR PICK: BILLS