The return of Phillip Rivers will make things interesting in week 15. Can the Colts survive? In week 15, there are lots of solid match ups to decipher.

LAST WEEK: (7-7)

Last week we broke even at 7-7. Many upsets and picks that were chosen backfired to get 7 losses. This week I have my playoff mentality going as every match up is very important for seeding. I’m sure we will have plenty of crazy outcomes, as that is the norm. We stride for the winning record each week. We strive for excellence every week, but we have not provided that. We will stay optimistic with our week 15 picks though.

SEASON RECORD: (133-75)

WEEK 15 STRAIGHT PICK-EM

THE THURSDAY NIGHT GAME

ATLANTA FALCONS (4-9) AT TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (7-6)

The AFC South is a crap shoot trying to predict the winners. The New Orleans Saints upset the Buccaneers last weekend and beat the Panthers weeks ago. The Falcons come into this short Thursday game losing their last three games. The Falcons are very unpredictable. Atlanta seems to play better at home than on the road.The Buccaneers have had problems keeping their playmakers on the field. Baker Mayfield is banged up.

When is Kirk Cousins going to find his old self before that brutal injury he suffered last year in Minnesota? He is 1-3 as the starter since filling in for Michael Penix Jr. who is out for the rest of the season with a knee injury. Captain Kirk is 37 years old and seeing Joe Flacco at 40 playing better than him. Aaron Rodgers at 42 is playing better. Now the return of Phillip Rivers. If he plays better, than maybe it’s time Kirk hangs up the spikes. Anything can happen on a short week. From watching these teams with my eyes, Tampa Bay is the better team. The NFL wants to make all of them half blind. I just don’t see Atlanta rebounding from the beat down Seattle gave them last week, this soon. Tampa Bay has more on the line here and they will find a way with a gutsy performance by Mayfield to get the Buccaneers back in the win column.

OUR PICK: BUCCANEERS

THE SUNDAY TILT

BALTIMORE RAVENS (6-7) AT CINCINNATI BENGALS (4-9)

Joe Burrow beat Lamar Jackson and the Ravens on Thanksgiving night as he returned from an injury earlier in the season. The Ravens have lost two straight games and a biggie versus the Steelers last Sunday. Jackson vs Burrow has Lamar with the better record of 6-2. Lamar Jackson is 4-0 in Cincinnati where he has thrown 15 touchdown passes to 1 interception. Burrow threw two picks late in the game last week versus Buffalo that cost them a win. Before those two picks, Burrow and that Bengals offense was rolling in Buffalo. Jackson in the last 4 games has not been very good, throwing 1 touchdown pass to 4 interceptions. Both teams’ defenses are not very good. I guess you chalk up Ravens D being better. Last year during this time span, Burrow and the Bengals played very well down the stretch. With Burrow being back, the team overall is playing better. I’m going with the hotter hand in this one. Burrow defends his home turf versus Jackson and has the bigger game setting the Ravens further back from repeating as AFC North champions.

OUR PICK: BENGALS

BUFFALO BILLS (9-4) AT NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (11-2)

Since the Buffalo Bills traded Stefon Diggs to Houston, now with the Patriots he is 2-0 versus his former team. Diggs torched the Bills this season in the first meeting and his return to Buffalo earlier this season. The Patriots have won 10 straight games. The Bills have won two straight games. If Patriots win this game, they sweep the Bills and will win the AFC East which the Bills have owned for the last few years. Patriots have won 21 division titles since the AFL AND NFL merger back in 1970, which is 4th most in the NFL. This game will be different from the earlier match up. More on the line, if you are the Bills. This is a game they need. The Bills have played well against teams with better records. I think Josh Allen will put on his superman cape in this one and make a statement against this Patriots team and a man named Diggs. I think this go around the Bills can run the ball better on this Patriots defense that has a few injuries. I like how the Bills defense has made some huge impact plays the last few weeks that have changed the momentum of the games. The Patriots’ two losses have occurred at home.

OUR PICK: BILLS

LA CHARGERS (9-4) AT KANSAS CITY (6-7)

I’m sick of picking the Chiefs as I feel they are done, dead in the water. But something in my gut tells Patrick Mahomes is like that slasher movie killer when you think he’s dead and the movie is over, he comes at you again. If the Chargers win this game, it would be the first time they have swept Kansas City in a season since 2013. The Chiefs have lost two straight games and Mahomes has never missed the playoffs. The Chiefs are 5-2 at home. They are 1-6 in one possession games this season. The Chargers had a big win on Monday night which took OT to beat the Eagles and they are chasing the Broncos for the AFC West title. If Chargers win one more game, they will hit double figures in wins two years straight under Jim Harbaugh. The Chiefs should stop throwing the ball to the MEATHEAD Travis Swift as he had another costly error for them last week on an important 4th quarter drive vs the Texans that could have changed the tide of the game. The Meathead has cost the Chiefs multiple victories this season. The Chiefs defense will rise up in this one like they had great moments vs the Texans last Sunday night. This game will be Mahomes’ rally cry. The Chiefs are better at home and you know they will make one last try like a slasher killer to get on track and make the playoffs. It will be cold in Kansas City and they will benefit with a big win to even up their record at sevens.

OUR PICK: CHIEFS

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (2-11) AT PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (8-5)

Combined, both these teams have lost 10 straight games. The Raiders have 7 of those defeats. While the Eagles shockingly have three. The Raiders is offense one of the worst in the league. The Raiders should be playing to lose to get the first pick in the draft and select a quarterback. Geno Smith is the newest version of the Crab Man Jameis Winston as the interception king. The last time the Raiders scored 20 or more points in a game, you have to go back to early November when they scored 29 in an OT loss versus the Jaguars. The Eagles defense can feast on a bad Raiders O-line. The Raiders are the perfect team after a break up, losing streak, etc etc, for opponents to get back on track. Eagles will soar high as the Raiders will lose and may suffer some frost bite at the same time playing in the Philadelphia cold elements.

No snowballs in this game towards the big fat man in the the stands watching. Not needed with a victory. However they are Eagles fans and most of them appear on the naughty list.

OUR PICK: EAGLES

NEW YORK JETS (3-10) AT JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (9-4)

The Jets are going to start their rookie quarterback Brady Cook who filled in last weekend for the injured Tyrod Taylor, who left the game with a groin injury. Cook is undrafted from Missouri University & threw two interceptions in his NFL debut, both in the red zone. He also fumble twice but the Jets recovered bot of them. Meanwhile the Jaguars have won 4 straight games. They are leading the AFC South by 1 game. Cook will make his first start in the NFL against a Jaguar defense that is tied for second in takeaways. Trevor Lawrence in the last three games is stringing his best performances of the season. Cook will probably not be the next Brady terrorizing the AFC East for years to come. He may play better getting all the first team reps in practice during the week. The Jaguars are playing better and should keep rolling along.

OUR PICK: JAGUARS

ARIZONA CARDINALS (3-10) AT HOUSTON TEXANS (8-5)

Trey McBride may be the best tight end in the game. With Travis Kelce deteriorating and George Kittle always injured, McBride is young and has already been up and coming. This season he has 93 grabs for 937 yards and 8 touchdown catches. Last year he had 111 grabs. Jacoby Brissett is 5-1 all-time versus the Texans in his career. Let’s come back to earth now. The Cardinals have lost 5 straight games. The Texans have won 5 straight games. This is not the Houston defense Brissett has beaten in his career. The Cardinals will be without their star wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. who will miss the game with a heel injury. Look for the Texans to focus on McBride. Brissett will be doomed with the Texans pass rush from the start of the game. CJ Stroud should have his way with the Arizona defense and keep the Texans march to the post-season alive.

OUR PICK: TEXANS

CLEVELAND BROWNS (3-10) AT CHICAGO BEARS (9-4)

This could be one of the coldest games in Bears history as the temperatures should hover around 10 degrees. I should remind Shedeur Sanders about the wind chills at a hasty -10 degrees. Sanders is overrated in my opinion, only completing 52.4% of his passes. He has 3 interceptions in 4 games. He likes to fumble the ball. Sanders was the starter last week when the Browns lost to the worst team in the league, the Titans. The Bears came very close versus the arch-rival Packers. The loss broke their long 5 game winning streak that included a big win in Philadelphia. In cold games, teams want to run the rock. The Bears can do so averaging 152.6 yards on the ground per game. Cleveland has a great defense that should help keep them in this game for awhile. The Bears defense will cause all kinds of problems for Sanders who will turn over the ball multiple times, is my prediction. The Browns are not playing for anything. Eventually against the cold and the Bears running game, they will give in like bad Dawgs going to the vet to get neutered.

OUR PICK: DA BEARS

WASHINGTON COMMANDERS (3-10) AT NEW YORK GIANTS (2-11)

Which team will get flushed in this toilet bowl game of the week? Combined, the Giants and Commanders have lost 15 straight games. Washington has 8 of them while New York is guilty of 7 straight losses. The Giants interim head coach Mike Kafka is still looking for his first win since taking over for the fired Brian Daboll. Washington keeps trotting Jayden Daniels onto the field and getting the same results. He gets injured. Last week again with the elbow. The Giants had a bye week last week. The Commanders were shut out by the Vikings who scored over 30 points off Washington’s defense. I like Jaxson Dart in this one. I think he could have one of his best games of the season against this Commanders defense. The Giants defense is not the flaming heap that the Commander defense is. The G-Men on defense could slow down Marcus Mariota. This game will most likely be ugly. The Giants get a W for the interim guy.

OUR PICK: GIANTS

CAROLINA PANTHERS (7-6) AT NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (3-10)

The New Orleans Saints rookie quarterback is still looking for his first ever win at home. Tyler Shough has two victories since taking over the Saints starting job and he has beaten the Panthers and Buccaneers on the road. Last week it was the Buccaneers. If Tyler can earn 1 more victory before regular season comes to an end, he will tie the great Archie Manning for the most victories by rookie QB in Saints history. Archie went 3-5-2 in his rookie season of 1971. The Panthers come off their bye week after upsetting one of the best NFC teams in the league, the Rams, in week 13. This looks too easy as we can say Panthers. It was week 10 when the Saints marched in Carolina and beat them. The Saints have nothing at stake while the Panthers have a chance to win this flaming heap they call the NFC South. The Panthers have not done well lately when they are favored. I smell an upset in the air. The Saints seem dialed in on division opponents. Look out Arch, Tyler is tying your record in this one.

OUR PICK: SAINTS

TENNESSEE TITANS (2-11) AT SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (9-4)

Last week we saw a Tony Pollard sighting for the Titans. I did not think the Titans running back was still in the league. Pollard had a great day at the office helping the Titans earn their second victory of the year. He ran for 161 rushing yards with two touchdowns. The 49ers come of their bye week as they have won three straight games. The last time a Titans team won consecutive games, you have to go back to November of 2022. The Titans played their best game of the season in that win. They beat the Browns who may be checked out for the season and a rookie quarterback in Shedeur Sanders. The Titans offense has only averaged 15.5 points per game this season. Cam Ward has been sacked 49 times this season. The 49ers defense will be able to handle the Titans offense. Brock Purdy will have a clean game. The 49ers need this win to stay in striking distance of both the Rams and Seahawks, two teams in the division. Then you have other NFC teams trying to grab a wild card spot if you can’t win that crazy NFC West. The 49ers will not break this week.

OUR PICK: 49ERS

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (8-5) AT SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (10-3)

Can the 44 year old quarterback Phillip Rivers who has stolen all the headlines this week come back from retirement and win a big game against a hot Seattle team? The Seahawks have won three straight games. The Colts are desperate and that’s why they brought back Rivers because they have lost 3 straight games and are falling out of the playoff picture. The Seahawks are 5-1 at home this season. The Colts are missing some pieces especially the back end of the defense. The Seahawks have an explosive offense. The Seahawks defense is a strong unit. I’m not sure if I would start Rivers in this one. Another loss puts the Colts further back in the division and post-season. Rivers is the best chance the Colts have right now. He’s a competitor. He will be rusty. I don’t think he can win a shoot out style of game in his first start back since 2021. It’s a great story, so let’s hope Jags and Texans lose to make next week interesting for Rivers’ second game just in case he loses his first.

OUR PICK: SEAHAWKS

GREEN BAY PACKERS (9-3-1) AT DENVER BRONCOS (11-2)

The Packers and Broncos come into this week both sitting at the number two seed in their respective conference. The Packers beat the Bears last week, took over first place in the division, and now have won 4 straight games. The Broncos continue to be in cruise control as they have won 10 straight games. With a Broncos win, they can clinch a playoff berth. Both teams have an elite quarterback hunter. The Packers have Micah Parsons while Broncos have Nik Bonitto. Both hunters have 12.5 sacks coming into this game. The Broncos defense has the better D unit over the Packers as a whole. This game will come down to which QB has the bigger game: Bo Nix or Jordan Love? I think Love with his arm will dial it up long distance and hook up on some big pass plays to put away the Broncos and snap their 10 game winning streak to make a statement.

OUR PICK: PACKERS

DETROIT LIONS (8-5) AT LA RAMS (10-3)

Remember when Matthew Stafford was the starting quarterback for the Lions while Jared Goff was the Rams guy? Since that trade, the Rams have won a Superbowl with Stafford while the Lions have been a staple in the post-season the last two years. Goff leads the head to head match up all-time vs Stafford 3-1 in 4 meetings including a playoff game where Jared won. The Rams are the number 1 seed in the NFC. They have Seattle right on their rear though in the division and the number 1 seed spot. The Lions come off a big win over a hot Cowboys team that needs wins because the Bears and the Packers are ahead of them in the division. The Rams rebounded nicely versus the Cardinals last week after being upset by the Panther in week 13. This will be a shoot out. I like the Rams defense better than the Lions to make the key stops to stop the bleeding.

OUR PICK: RAMS

THE SUNDAY NIGHT GAME

MINNESOTA VIKINGS (5-8) AT DALLAS COWBOYS (6-6-1)

JJ McCarthy had a huge game last week coming off a concussion that sidelined him for a game. The Cowboys lost in a shoot out on Thursday night versus the Lions in Detroit. The Cowboys are well rested and need to get back on track after the Lions snapped their winning streak. The Vikings beat up on the Commanders last week where McCarthy picked apart the worst pass defense in the league. Can he have the big style game on the road? The Cowboys average 32.6 points at home where the Vikings offense on the road does not quite match up with Dallas. The Cowboys need to win out pretty much if they want to make the playoffs. The Eagles will eventually win a game. The Cowboys are going to try to win the division, but just in case they need to also stay in the wild card hunt which is crowded right now. This is a perfect opponent to get back on track. The Vikings defense is solid, but Dak Prescott will get this Cowboys offense rolling as they should hit high 20’s in points or lower 30’s. The Vikings offense will not get that much off the Cowboys defense. The Cowboys have played well and had some chances with the Lions until Detroit pulled away. Cowboys stay alive in the playoff push.

OUR PICK: COWBOYS

THE MONDAY NIGHT GAME

MIAMI DOLPHINS (6-7) AT PITTSBURGH STEELERS (6-7)

The Dolphins have won 4 straight games coming into this Monday night match up. The Steelers will be without their best pass rusher, TJ Watt, who was hospitalized experiencing lung discomfort. The Steelers come off an impressive win over their arch rival Baltimore Ravens last week. If the Dolphins lose they will be eliminated officially from the post-season. The Dolphins have played better football in this 4 game win streak. The Dolphins defense are still the weakest link in this match up which the Steelers will exploit. Last week perhaps the temperatures were not under 40 degrees in New Jersey where they beat the Jets. I know Pittsburgh means it will be colder temperatures and that does not work for the Dolphins as they have lost 13 straight games when the thermometer reads under 40. Fish popsicles for all Steelers fans after the game. Being a night game, it should be colder in Pittsburgh. Dolphins will once again miss the post-season.

OUR PICK: STEELERS